Take It to the Bank, Hagel Will Win

Obama and Leon PanettaBy James M. Wall

The war against Chuck Hagel followed a predictable pattern. It will end soon when the U.S. Senate votes to confirm Hagel as President Barack Obama’s next defense secretary.

This is one of those rare occasions in American politics when you may “take it to the bank“, that in a struggle between a U.S. presidential nominee, and the pro-Israel lobby, the presidential nominee will win.

The political war the Lobby will lose began when Lobby forces launched their initial attacks against former Republican Nebraska Senator Hagel’s rumored nomination.

Led by its media and political “myrmidons”  (myrmidon: A faithful follower who carries out orders unquestioningly) the Lobby’s plan followed the usual pattern:

Strike early, suggest a safer nominee, provide liberals with political cover, and then, to whip up emotions from the dark side, play the anti-Semitic card.

Obama made the nomination at the White House on Monday, January 7, where he is shown above with outgoing Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, left and Hagel, right.

In spite of the attacks the Lobby began against Hagel in mid-December, it failed to block the nomination. What led to this Obama victory?

Take notes because it is a predictable pattern (remember Chas Freeman) and it will, no doubt, be repeated the next time the Israel Lobby giant senses “danger”.

The “block Hagel” war was officially launched December 18, 2012, when the Washington Post  editorialized that President Obama should not nominate former Nebraska Senator Chuck Hagel as his defense secretary because the President ” has available other possible nominees who are considerably closer to the mainstream and to the president’s first-term policies.”

Got that, Politics 101 students?  To block a nominee before she/he is named, accuse the possible nominee of being”out of the mainstream”.  Then, in the same opening salvo, bring in a safer, more desirable choice.

The Post offered its “consensus” candidate, Michele Flournoy, a former undersecretary of defense, who was described by the Post as “a seasoned policymaker who understands how to manage the Pentagon bureaucracy and where responsible cuts can be made.”

The vote on Hagel, as with other new cabinet appointments, will go first to a Senate committee. (You can tell your Uncle Charlie that the Republican-controlled House of Representatives has no say in these matters.  Sorry, Charlie.)

When the nomination of Hagel reaches the Senate floor, a debate will proceed and a vote taken among 53 Democrats, two Independents (both of whom caucus with the Democrats), and 45 Republicans.

What will drive the debate?

Fred Kaplan writes that opponents of Hagel have ” four main concerns” in their disapproval of Hagel.

The first three of their concerns, that he will cut the military budget, “roll over” and let Iran build a nuclear weapon, and be “reluctant” to use military force, are quickly refuted by Kaplan.

The major reason the Lobby has been pushing this war, of course, is Israel, “the third rail” in foreign policy. Kaplan sums up the case the Lobby made against Hagel.

As a senator, Hagel once complained to a reporter that “the Jewish lobby” intimidates many lawmakers on Capitol Hill. And he once intoned that he was a senator from Nebraska, not a senator from Israel. These may have been impolitic remarks, but they weren’t false – either in strict substance or in spirit.

No one could deny that AIPAC has an overpowering influence on many lawmakers. Hagel’s sin, in the eyes of some, was to call it the “Jewish lobby” instead of the “Israel lobby.” If this is a sin, AIPAC and its allies have brought it on themselves. For decades, they have thundered that criticism of Israel is thinly disguised anti-Semitism.

MJ Rosenberg, who writes that “I worked at AIPAC for four years and in Congress for 20″, sees the outcome of the war against Hagel from the perspective of one who “knows how the game is played”.  He predicts that AIPAC, his old organization, will signal to the anti-Hagel forces that the war is over, so stand down. Rosenberg writes:

AIPAC will claim it was not involved in the effort to prevent Hagel’s nomination. That is a lie. AIPAC never operates in the open. It uses cutouts in Congress, the media and smaller fringy organizations like the Republican Jewish Coalition and the Emergency Committee For Israel to do the dirty work so it can keep its hands cleans.

Anyone who thinks that Commentary, the American Jewish Committee, the Free Beacon, the “pro-Israel” bloggers, pundits and Alan Dershowitz do not get their marching orders from AIPAC is living in a dream world.

When Hagel’s name was floated, New York’s Democratic Senator Charles Schumer said  he would wait and see how the debate proceeded.  The possibility of a party leader of the stature of Schumer going against President Obama is quite unlikely, especially after New York Times columnists Nicholas D. Kristof, Thomas Friedman and Roger Cohen, wrote their pro-Hagel columns.

Here is Kristof:

Kristof_Damon Winter NYTCritics are pounding President Obama’s choice for defense secretary, Chuck Hagel, as soft on Iran, anti-military and even anti-Semitic. This is a grotesque caricature of a man who would make a terrific defense secretary.

It’s true that Hagel harbors a healthy skepticism about deploying American troops. That’s because he also harbors shrapnel in his chest from Vietnam and appreciates the human costs when Pentagon officials move pins on maps.

In Vietnam, Hagel rescued his unconscious brother (who served in the same unit) from a troop carrier that had hit a mine. The incident left Hagel with blown eardrums, bad burns and an important take-away.

“I’m not a pacifist. I believe in using force, but only after a very careful decision-making process,” Hagel later told Vietnam magazine.

Roger Cohen sees the choice of Hagel as an essential moment in provoking a needed debate:

Obama’s decision to nominate Chuck Hagel, a maverick Republican with enough experience of war to loathe it, as his next secretary of defense is the right choice for many reasons, chief among them that it will provoke a serious debate on what constitutes real friendship toward Israel.

That debate, which will unfold during Senate confirmation hearings, is much needed because Jewish leadership in the United States is often unrepresentative of the many American Jews who have moved on from the view that the only legitimate support of Israel is unquestioning support of Israel, and the only mark of friendship is uncritical embrace of a friend.

Friedman wrote a recent column, “Give Chuck a Chance” that included this declaration:

I am a Hagel supporter. I think he would make a fine secretary of defense — precisely because some of his views are not “mainstream.

Outside the Times orbit, Josh Marshall, of Talking Points Memo, poses political questions and provides direct answers:

Will Republicans uniformly oppose a former member of their own caucus when the issues at stake are complaints that look comical when held up to the light of day? One who was one of the top foreign policy Republicans in the Senate? I doubt it.

Will Democratic senators deny a reelected President Obama his choice for one of the top four cabinet positions when he is quite popular and the expansion of their caucus is due in significant measure to his popularity? Please. Chuck Schumer will oppose the President? Not likely.

A final word on Hagel comes from long-time Israeli anti-war activist Uri Avnery, who writes in support of Hagel from a shared view drawn from actual war experiences.

I find Chuck Hagel eminently likeable. I am not quite certain why.

Perhaps it is his war record. He was decorated for valor in the Vietnam War (which I detested). He was a mere sergeant. Since I was a mere corporal in our 1948 war, I find it elating to see a non-commissioned officer become Minister of Defense.

Like so many veterans who have seen war from close up (myself included), he has become an enemy of war. Wonderful.

Now Hagel is violently attacked by all the neocon warmongers, almost none of whom has ever heard a bullet whistle in the wars to which they sent others, and the combined political regiments of the American Jewish establishment.

His main sin seems to be that he objects to war against Iran. To be against an attack on Iran means to be anti-Israeli, anti-Semitic, indeed to wish for the destruction of Israel if not all Jews. Never mind that almost all present and past chiefs of the Israeli army and intelligence community object to an attack on Iran, too.

Hagel will be confirmed.  You may take it to the bank.

About wallwritings

James M. Wall is currently a Contributing Editor of The Christian Century magazine, based in Chicago, Illinois. From 1972 through 1999, he was editor and publisher of the Christian Century magazine. Jim launched this new personal blog April 24, 2008. If you would like to receive Wall Writings alerts when new postings are added to this site, send a note, saying, Please Add Me, to jameswall8@gmail.com Biography: Journalism was Jim's undergraduate college major at Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia. He has earned two MA degrees, one from Emory, and one from the University of Chicago, both in religion. He is an ordained United Methodist clergy person. He served for two years in the US Air Force, and three additional years in the USAF reserve. While serving on active duty with the Alaskan Command, he reached the rank of first lieutenant. He has worked as a sports writer for both the Atlanta Journal and Constitution, was editor of the United Methodist magazine, Christian Advocate for ten years, and editor and publisher of the Christian Century magazine for 27 years.
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10 Responses to Take It to the Bank, Hagel Will Win

  1. John Kleinheksel says:

    As always Jim, right on target. You see the way the wind is blowing very accurately. The pro-Israel folks made their big pitch early, trying to dissuade Obama from his preferred choice. It didn’t work. The President is sticking to his guns. When even Abe Foxman backs down, you know this appointment is going through. Even poor Wolf Blitzer (CNN) had Rep. Cotton on his “show” (a new House Republican from the South), mouthing how he would vote against Hagel. For God’s sake Wolf, Rep. Cotton has no choice on the matter. Why are you dragging out a new guy from the House of Representatives? The dying gasp of the Establishment Right, trying to generate opposition, debate, controversy.
    The Senate will have their committee meetings, their debates, their questions of the appointee, and vote 60/40 for the candidate.
    Let’s just hope he and his boss (and the other cabinet members) will have the courage to chart a new direction, new actions, and face down the wrong-headed, inhuman actions of the most right-wing administration in Israeli politics.
    John

  2. Roy Hayes says:

    I totally agree, Jim. We’ve witnessed a test case. I predict that we’ll soon see a lessening of the stranglehold AIPAC has on our congress.

  3. Charlton Price says:

    After Chuck Hagel is confirmed as Secretary of Defense on on the job at DoD, our hopes truly can be lifted if we see evidence of demonstrably significant cuts in redundant, unrequested, extremely expensive, faultily designed, costly weapons and weapons systems — many produced with huge cost overruns.( Are there still fields of Abrams tanks at Ft. Sill? — as documented decades ago by William Greider?) A further welcome change would be a reduction in the enormous numbers of contract personnel, on military bases and other installations worldwide. A third welcome sign would be actual reductions in the number of US military installations worldwide.
    I think it unlikely that there will be much of any of this. But even some progress in curbing DoD bloat in the areas mentioned would be heartening.

  4. AWAD PAUL SIFRI says:

    Absolutely brilliantIt It will be important for Hagel and Obama to remain strong and steadfast after Hagel’s confirmation, and not bend over backwards to try to “disprove” AIPAC’s false lies and accusations.
    Your shattering point of AIPAC is worth repeating regarding Hagel’s reference to the “Jewish lobby”, instead of the “Israel lobby”. You pointed out that “AIPAC and and its allies have brought it upon themselves”, and you reminded us that, “For decades, they have thundered that criticism of Israel is thinly disguised anti-Semitism”.
    I agree with your statement and would add that, in the past few decades, the Zionist “House of Lies Think Tanks” have attempted to make Zionism, Judaism, and Israel synonymous.
    Contrary to Judaism, political “Zionist” dogma falsely claims that “ALL” Jews around the world comprise ONE ‘nation’ and belong to Israel, and should settle in Israel. SUCH statements should be exposed as anti-Jewish and, consequently, anti-Semitic. They are contrary to the thinking of most Jews who prefer to stay in their original respective countries around the world, including the United States of America.

  5. Jack Graham says:

    I wish I could take it to the bank. I’ll believe it when I see it, not before. Fred Kaplan, speaking for Hagel, says that the President will decide about war on Iran. Wait a minute, we have a Constitution and a War Powers Act. I know Obama disregarded both in ordering a military intrusion in Libya which ultimately resulted in the murder of four American diplomats in Benghazi. He should have been impeached for it. As it was, the House passed a resolution of protest against Obama’s misconduct. But I think Obama will not dare to undertake unconstitutional executive warmaking against Iran. Congress will decide whether we go to war against Iran, and support is not there at the moment. If Hagel is confirmed, we will have a secretary of defense against such a war, and that will not drum up support in Congress for an adventure against Iran. So Hagel’s nomination is a serious matter for the Israel Lobby, and they will fight hard to prevent confirmation. They own both major parties. Just consider the servility of Harry Reid and Nancy Palosi toward Israel. The Israel Lobby pulls the strings of Democrats too. The Democrats also voted in lock step for the Iraq War as a favor to Israel. If Hagel is confirmed, as I hope, it will be historic, because it will be the first step of the emancipation of the United States from the grip of Zionist governments in Tel Aviv or Jerusalem. The United States have not had an independent foreign policy in the Middle East since before the Six Days War in 1967. For the good of my country, I hope for Hagel, but I am not taking it to the bank. — John Remington Graham of the Minnesota Bar (#3664X)

  6. Fred says:

    This is a very good analysis of how AIPAC has worked and been so effective in determining who gets selected in government foreign policy positions, and in getting its legislation passed as well—legislation that is what the Israeli government is calling for.

    What’s really needed to counter them, is an anti Lobby lobby, that will work for issues of justice and human rights in Israel, and the entire mideast, and will work for American, rather than Israel’s interests in Congress.

    If Hagel’s nomination prevents war with Iran it will be wonderful. However, if Israel decides to attack Iran unilaterally, will the US stay out of it, or will we support the agressor, Israel, if it attacks? I think this is an important possibility to consider. Just because AIPAC may lose this one, doesn’t mean they will not win other battles for their Israel first agenda.

    Fred

  7. Patricia Pynchon says:

    Hurrah, let’s hope. Maybe they won’t cut social security and medicare to finance another war, more killing, more destruction and horror. Let’s hope Hagel is the answer.
    P.Pynchon

  8. Patricia says:

    Anyone who says that they don’t work for Israel and takes an intelligent approach to Iran would be a refreshing addition to the Cabinet.

  9. William Gepford says:

    It is nice to hear the truth about our past “war” endeavors. I was never deployed on the front line of war, but I was drafted into the Navy V-12 program during WWII, like those of us who were in college at the time. I felt fortunate at the time not to have to be put into a position to decide to “kill or be killed,” as the war ended before I would have been deployed to the Pacific theater. ALso, in civilian service overseas at a later date I protested against the Vietnam War for which our government told the foreign government where I worked not to extend my (and others, too) work visa, becaise of that activity. This caused my family to be relocated back to the States. I served in Lebanon (1953-1963) at the time our government sent troops and military equipped to Lebanon. One reaction was the killling of over 150 of our troops while in a barracks. Lebanese leaders always welcomed Americans (since the 1860’s because they brought new ideas, education, hospitals, etc. But after this incursion of “supportive” military action, they turned the other way. Dr. Charles Malik, an ambassador to America, in the 1950’s, put it this way: “There was a time when America brought to the Middle East good things. Now they bring troops, guns and various other military equipment which is set to destroy us. When will it end?” The nomination of Hagel is a big step forward to help correct our past military ventures. Thanks, Jim, for “telling it like it is.”

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